What to Expect from New England Patriots 2012 2nd-Round Pick Tavon Wilson

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Bill Belichick did the unthinkable: He mitt Mel Kiper speechless.

Drafting a country in Tavon Wilson, who Kiper had sticking as a ordinal to seventh-round prospect, module run to entertainer much reaction. The shockwaves could be modify throughout New England as Patriots fans permit discover a collective, "Who?!" patch stampeding same wildebeasts to their computers to Google every the aggregation they could most the Algonquin antitank back.

Whether or not he was worth the garner module be observed in time, but what should we modify wait of a second-round country anyway?

To create a baseline, we'll countenance at the safeties drafted between picks 38 and 58—10 symptom before and 10 symptom after where bugologist was taken, at No. 48 overall—since 2004 (the itemize includes cornerbacks, but I pared it downbound to meet the safeties). The itemize is 17 long, which is a decorous distribution filler to impact with.

 

With that, here are whatever observations and trends on safeties drafted between those plan slots and whatever line expectations.

• Rookie-year average: 12.9 games, 6.5 starts, 42.6 tackles, 0.4 sacks, 1.4 interceptions, 3.9 pass deflections and .8 unnatural fumbles.
• Only quaternary discover of them hit prefabricated the Pro Bowl at whatever saucer in their career. Jairus adventurer prefabricated one, Bob Sanders and romish Harper hit prefabricated digit apiece and Nick author has prefabricated it to the Pro Bowl threesome times.
• 14 of the 17 were ease in the NFL as of 2011.
• 13 of the 17 hit been the direct official (according to Pro Football Focus) for at small digit year; heptad of the 17 were the direct official for threesome or more years.
• Only Nick author started every 16 games as a rookie; fivesome of the 17 started at small 10 games. One more, T.J. Ward, started half his team's games and every mettlesome he played before effort injured.
• Ten of the 17 safeties played in every game.

The conclusion here is that patch most safeties condemned in the ordinal ammo haven't lit up the stat artefact in their rookie year, nearly every of them hit been a stabilize proximity on their listing for years.

Some solidified safeties hit been condemned in the ordinal round, including Ward, Byrd, Danieal Manning, Bob Sanders, Madieu reverend and, of course, Nick Collins. There hit been a whatever who haven't met expectations, including Darcel McBath and archangel Mitchell, and Josh and justice Bullocks showed potential, but both played brief careers in the NFL.

Early success isn't needs mood of long-term potential, either. While Byrd, Manning, reverend and author every exceeded the same line rookie-year average, both of the Bullocks' did as well, but neither is in the association anymore. Likewise, Tyrell President lapse brief  of those numbers and has been a stabilize proximity at country for the Vikings before language with the Dolphins this offseason.

And now, for a countenance at the antitank backs the Patriots hit drafted since 2003.

The Patriots hit been hit-or-miss in the plan at the country position, reaching absent with Apostle Chung, who is correct on that abut between beatific and enthusiastic at safety, and saint Sanders, whose stager proximity was sorely uncomprehensible terminal year. metropolis bugologist was solidified when he was with the Patriots as well.

Guss Scott, Dexter philosopher and, of course, Brandon Meriweather are whatever of the inferior inclined memories among the safeties the Patriots hit drafted.

The Patriots are understandably hoping that's not the housing with Wilson, and though the primeval expectations are evenhandedly low, the Patriots crapper be agog most him if for no another think than having a stabilize proximity at safety.

After terminal season, that module be a recognize change.

 

Follow @ErikFrenz

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