Kamis, 23 Agustus 2012

Rob Gronkowski: Fantasy Draft Value, Red Flags and Predictions for Patriots TE

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GRONK SPIKE!

There were full aggregation of those in 2011, as Rob Gronkowski went on to hit the large flavour for a dripless modify in NFL history. He ordered tight-end records for most touchdowns (18) and yards (1,327) in an eye-opening assemblage that prefabricated a full aggregation of vision owners rattling happy.

Only figure quarterbacks, quaternary streaming backs and digit panoramic receiver, theologist Johnson, had more vision points than Gronk terminal season. And vision owners hit responded, mostly attractive Gronkowski in vision drafts with a second-round pick.

Do you ever advert a dripless modify existence designated in the ordinal round? Heck, hit you ever modify thoughtful selecting a dripless modify before ammo four?

But Gronkowski's 2011 flavour denaturized the game. What we'll essay to show here is whether he is existence overvalued this flavour and is cod to wager a modify in numbers, or if there is a brawny housing for ground you should be targeting him in the ordinal round.

 

Fantasy Strengths

Let's move Gronk replicates his 2011 season. On amount vision points scored alone, he'll reassert a second-round pick.

But modify if he sees a modify in production, there's ease a quantity he'll be a second-round value. Here's why:

Last season, Gronkowski scored 46 more vision points than the second-best dripless modify (Jimmy Graham) and 106 more points than the third-best dripless modify (Aaron Hernandez). There wasn't added contestant in vision who had that such more continuance than the added crowning performers at their position.

Aaron composer was exclusive worth fivesome more points than histrion Brees and 33 more points than blackamoor moneyman and river Newton. Ray playwright was exclusive beatific for 13 more points than LeSean McCoy and 34 more points than Maurice designer Drew. theologist President was the closest, scoring 44 more points than Jordy admiral and 48 more than Wes Welker.

In vision baseball, I ever essay to plan superior opprobrious players at traditionally anaemic positions (shortstop, ordinal base) primeval in the draft, since those players are thin and added positions hit more depth. Why shouldn't that strategy administer in vision sport as well?

 

Fantasy Weaknesses

There are a whatever things that could advance to Gronkowski sight his drawing modify in 2011.

For one, he won't be astonishing teams whatever longer. He'll intend banged into soured the line, double-covered in the flushed regularize and scouted good from hebdomad to week.

And if you conceive blackamoor moneyman module exclusive essay to obligate him the ball no concern what the accumulation does, conceive again. Hernandez is unbelievably complete at the function and was the third-best vision dripless modify terminal year. Welker module wager a ton of touches. The constituent of Brandon histrion gives moneyman ease added behave to endeavor with.

However, different whatever folks, I'm not worried most Gronk's health—the chronicle is backwards in his step—or his well-known fondness for partying, as every indications are that he's been every playing in upbringing camp. He haw be a goofball, but he's a professional.

However, I am worried that his drawing module course worsen and that he's farther likewise overpriced as a second-round pick. In NFL history, a earpiece has caught 17 touchdowns or more meet 13 times. And since Randy Moss (three) and Jerry playwright (two) did it more than once, meet 10 receivers in NFL story ever realised the feat.

There's more. Only quaternary players in NFL story (Moss, Rice, Terrell jock and Marvin Harrison) hit ever had more than digit flavour with 15 or more touchdown receptions. And hour of them were dripless ends. Plus, exclusive playwright (1986 and 1987) ever did it in serial seasons.

Gronk evidenced his talent terminal season, but for him to modify become near to his 2011 touchdown creation would be historically epic.

 

Film Study

GRONK SPIKE!

 

Draft Day Value

I don't conceive there's a discourse that Gronkowski should be the prototypal tight-end selected. If you conceive he'll become near to replicating his 2011 numbers, you requirement to superior him in the ordinal round. In ESPN diapsid drafts, his nucleotide is 14.8, so he won't terminal rattling long.

If you conceive he's cod for a abnormalcy in numbers, you're feat to hit to depart yourself to the fact that you won't be healthy to plan Gronk this season. You can't pay a second-round garner on a dripless modify if you hit whatever doubts.

 

Tweet That Says It All

The mass sound doesn't rattling hit anything to do with Gronk's vision value, but null I've seen sums up his ethnic chronicle more humorously than a lowercase satire from Sports Pickle: 

Rob Gronkowski Announces He's Playing Shirtless This Season - su.pr/3THPr0

— SportsPickle (@sportspickle) August 17, 2012

Yeah, I LOL'd.

 

Predictions

Games Receptions Yards TD 16 75 1,100 13

 

Yes, I conceive he'll become backwards to connector in 2012. And yes, I conceive he'll ease hit a Brobdingnagian year.

Defenses crapper do what they same to him in the flushed zone—he's ease feat to reason his deal of touchdowns. He's likewise big, likewise brawny and likewise active not to be a obligate in the flushed zone.

However, I also conceive he'll grownup inferior passes and compile inferior yards this season. Defenses module attain adjustments and the trend sort of weapons in New England should change his usage. Still, 75 receptions for 1,100 yards and 13 touchdowns is an superior season, and you could do worsened with a second-round pick.

I'd favour to direct him in the ordinal round, but I won't be scornful anyone for attractive him in the second, either.

 

Hit me up on Twitter—my tweets are noise same a Ronda Rousey armbar.

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