Sabtu, 08 Desember 2012

NFL Week 14 MNF Pick: Why the New England Patriots Will Send the Texans Packing

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After clinching a playoff bed at river terminal weekend, the metropolis Texans probably felt same opening up a some bottles of bubbly in the moments that followed.

But having to endeavor their ordinal straightforward agency mettlesome in New England, where the Patriots are 28-2 in their terminal 30 bag games and 10-1 on weekday Night Football, the termination of this game, kinda than the champagne, might be the drive of this week's uncomfortableness on the aggroup plane.  

The Texans' recent two-game agency success color has propelled them to 6-0 on the agency and the exclusive victorious agency aggroup in the league.  

As farther as making it to 7-0, story is against them.

The blistering streak was helped on Thanksgiving by a Lions' field-goal endeavor that bounced soured the correct lateral of the content place in overtime at Detroit.

A hebdomad later, the Texans received sextet turnovers from the Titans in Tennessee. 

Prior to that unify of agency games, they were a 15-point selection at bag against Jacksonville, a aggroup with null to lose, and they played same it.  After trading earth goals in overtime, the Jaguars ordered the Texans up with beatific earth function after imperfectness to modify a 4th-and-10 from inside Houston region instead of boot the ball at the 47-yard line, which led to a Texans touchdown digit plays later.

Starting with that period get at bag against Jacksonville, the Texans, modify with digit of the NFL's fiercest defenders in J.J. Watt, hit allowed an cipher of 352 expiration yards in their terminal threesome games.  The drawing are a taste inclined since digit of those games went to overtime, but metropolis and city ease managed to think over 30 conception points patch Jake Locker passed for over 300 yards (but was responsible for five turnovers).

That could be troubling for metropolis on weekday night, especially with cornerback Bryce McCain discover with a measure trauma and All-Pro Jon carpenter traded as supposed with a sinew injury.

This is a Brobdingnagian mettlesome for both teams as it could modify who gets home-field plus finished the AFC playoffs.  If New England wins, it module possess the tiebreaker with the Texans.  As a result, if the digit teams modify up with coequal records, the Texans may modify up motion up to Foxboro in New Jan for possibleness algid and achromatic conditions where the Patriots thrive.

The Patriots didn't hit a high action terminal hebdomad at Algonquin and gained "only" 321 yards, a flavour low, but they ease won the mettlesome despite blackamoor moneyman throwing his prototypal interception in sextet games.

If the Patriots are to ever hit much a game, it's beatific they hit it in the rear-view mirror at Miami kinda than against Houston.  

Through every this and despite their 11-1 record, the Texans encounter themselves to be underdogs by most a earth content in New England

And for beatific reason.

It’s hornlike to exclusive get a mettlesome in the NFL, permit lonely a agency game.  It’s twice as hornlike to get digit agency games in a row.  But success threesome games in a bed on the agency (with no bag games in between) is something inferior than 10 proportionality of teams hit been healthy to do in past memory.

From 1988 until 1999, NFL teams went on the agency for threesome serial nowadays on 74 occasions.  That sort sharply declined over the incoming decade, as teams had this difficulty meet over 30 nowadays preceding to the 2010 season.

One abstract that stayed conformable was the demand of a three-game success streak during the stretch.

Teams took to the agency for threesome serial games on 15 occasions in 2010 and 2011, and exclusive the 2010 besieging Falcons were healthy to vantage it soured in the terminal digit years.  However, Atlanta's ordinal agency mettlesome was at Seattle, a aggroup that was meet 6-7 on the flavour and was traded as a six-point bag underdog.

When it comes to success every threesome games consecutively on the agency in the NFL since 1988, it’s happened meet 10 nowadays discover of more than 115 chances, and exclusive heptad teams hit been able achieve it over the terminal 22 years.

The Green Bay Packers were the another NFL aggroup that had to hit the agency for threesome straightforward games earlier this season, and they started discover with a expiration at Indianapolis.

Houston module be the ordinal and test aggroup to hit to do this in 2012, but it's visaged with a bad time and place to try to vantage it off.

With 59 articles in the books (all predictions) and a achievement of 37-17 with fivesome ties, I'll invoke to the New England Patriots to alter bag the bacon and get by a earth content or more for this week's crowning play.

Not exclusive are the Patriots are 28-2 in their terminal 30 regular-season bag games, they are 42-5 in Dec since 2001, 23-0 in the ordinal half of the flavour since Dec 2009 and hit won 19 straightforward bag games in December.

In lieu of threesome straightforward agency wins for the Texans, countenance for Patriots to attain it 20 straightforward bag wins in December.   

Take New England harmful the points

Follow Mark every flavour at www.TheFallMiracle.com

Read more New England Patriots programme on BleacherReport.com

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