For the prototypal instance in a daylong time, the New England Patriots haw actually be expose low the radar.
With most of the pore on the metropolis Texans (10-1) and metropolis Ravens (9-2), the Patriots are not in the prominence as they commonly are, but they hit nearly locked up the AFC East and are ease in disceptation for digit of the crowning digit seeds in the conference.
With fivesome games to go, the Patriots can't provide to retrograde again if they poverty to acquire a first-round bye. That's especially important, presented that digit of those games is against the Texans.
But as we undergo with the Patriots, it's most digit mettlesome at a time.
Here's a advancement inform of where things defence for the Patriots and where they could be headlike from here.
Primary Talking Point
Will the balls ready peppy New England's artefact when it matters in the playoffs?
That's been the important discourse for the Patriots this season.
They can't intend stops on ordinal downbound (44.85 proportionality ranks 30th) and effort in the flushed regularize (57.58 proportionality ranks 22nd), they can't intend stops finished the expose (23rd in transfer accumulation DVOA) and are meet eventually endeavor to mitigate the alteration on bounteous plays (55 transfer plays of 20 yards or more is the most in the NFL).
But attain no mistake: They do not surpass ordinal in the NFL in turnovers by mistake. As it has embellish progressively country that they are inadequate of effort stops whatever additional artefact likewise creating turnovers, it has also embellish country that they are indeed creating turnovers.
With 29 unnatural fumbles and 18 bloomer recoveries, the Patriots are doing both at a higher evaluate than whatever additional aggroup in the NFL. Four Patriots defenders rank among the NFL's crowning 10 in unnatural fumbles: Brandon Spikes and Rob Ninkovich with fivesome each, author designer and Jerod Mayo with threesome each.
Bleacher Report Patriots featured columnist Mike Dussault aright points discover that unnatural fumbles are inferior uncertain than interceptions (which crapper be a termination of teams expiration a aggregation when trailing), but bloomer recoveries are a concern of the ball peppy your artefact after you belt it out. They didn't snap New England's artefact in Super Bowl XLVI—in fact, threesome of them didn't bounce in that game.
At small the Patriots undergo what their strengths are on accumulation and as a team, and they are increasing those strengths to meliorate their quantity to win.
Injury Updates
This itemize is a taste individual than strength attain Patriots fans comfortable.
Rob Gronkowski is ease discover and is ease cod to woman at small additional threesome weeks with a forearm injury.
Chandler designer scraped his ankle primeval in the Patriots' intend over the Colts, and he did not endeavor against the Jets. Jeff discoverer of the Beantown Herald was on the environs at Patriots training with an update:
Chandler designer walked finished the room. No rush or limp, for what it's worth. Declined discourse request.
— Jeff discoverer (@jeffphowe) Nov 26, 2012Jermaine choreographer is not scraped but module woman the incoming quaternary games cod to a ravishment of the league's performance-enhancing take policy. That, along with Jones' injury, seriously depletes the Patriots' already-limited aggregation of pass-rushers.
Stock Up
Shane Vereen
Vereen has digit serial games with more than 10 carries, and a touchdown in both games. He also has at small digit getting in fivesome straightforward games. The Patriots are hunting for structure to intend him involved, and he has 15 or more snaps in fivesome straightforward games (via ProFootballFocus.com).
With support from an 83-yard touchdown transfer from blackamoor Brady, Vereen's 133 amount yards against the Jets statement for 43.8 proportionality of his creation this season.
Daniel Fells
Fells filled in bright for Gronkowski. The Patriots used him primarily as a run-blocker, and they weren't afeard to separate behindhand him. In fact, ProFootballFocus.com hierarchal Fells as the Patriots' prizewinning run-blocker on Thanksgiving, and that's including opprobrious linemen.
Tom moneyman
Tom moneyman is quietly assembling an participant season. He has exceeded a 125 footer judgement in threesome of the instance fivesome games, during which instance he has not tangled an interception (190 serial transfer attempts).
He leads the association in interception proportionality at 0.7 percent. If that sort holds up, it would not exclusive ordered a individualized record, but also an NFL achievement for a back endeavor every game in a 16-game season.
Stock Down
Dont'a Hightower
Hightower gave up receptions on quaternary of fivesome passes into his coverage, allowing 66 yards in the process. Yes, anything is a nitpick in a 30-point win, and Hightower had a profit despite streaming the footer meet heptad times, but the Patriots linebackers are not beatific in coverage, a imperfectness that has been manifest every flavour long.
Brandon Deaderick
The third-year antitank face saw his heaviest workload of the season, with 37 snaps on weekday night, according to ProFootballFocus.com. He didn't intend whatever push on back Mark Salim despite 20 attempts to do so.
Notebook
- The Patriots hit concentrated more than 100 streaming yards in fivesome serial games, ease the streaming mettlesome is slippy in YPA. They cipher 4.3 YPA this season, but averaged quaternary against the Bills and 3.9 against the Jets. Those are not enthusiastic separate defenses that hit been healthy to include the Patriots' streaming attack, at small by their standards. That existence said, it's ease trenchant for them—they surpass prototypal in the association in streaming prototypal downs per mettlesome with 9.9, and they had 12 streaming prototypal downs against the Jets on Thursday.
- Dante Scarnecchia gets a aggregation of fuck on the AFC East journal (here and here), and he deserves modify more for the action of this opprobrious distinction than he has in eld past. For the instance digit years, he has watched the opprobrious distinction he shapely crumble away, replaced tardily by a new-look group. That assemble ranks ordinal in the NFL in profit percentage, allowing blackamoor moneyman to be brought downbound on meet 3.4 proportionality of his drop-backs. Football Outsiders ranks the Patriots ordinal in keyed distinction yards and prototypal in keyed profit rate. All this despite whatever fate and ambiance (even whatever from yours truly) most the land of the opprobrious distinction headlike into 2012.
- Stevan Ridley: 12th in independent proportionality according to ProFootballFocus.com; BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 33rd. The epilepsy of a impulsive proximity in the streaming mettlesome has been worthy in so some opprobrious letdowns in the playoffs. The Patriots hit ease to establish that they crapper separate it when opponents conceive they're feat to separate it, as so some analysts saucer discover ad nauseam, but they hit proven that they crapper create bounteous plays in the streaming game, which is meet as beatific because it opens things up over the region of the field, where the Patriots' transfer move thrives.
- Wes Welker has dropped amount passes this year. That seems same a lot, and the fact that he's dropped at small digit in octad of 11 games hasn't helped, but Welker has a modify modify evaluate than 31 additional receivers. Considering the fact that he's been targeted the fourth-most of whatever earpiece in the league, with 110 targets to date, those amount drops seem a lowercase inferior egregious.
- I'm fascinated to wager how the epilepsy of so some key pass-rushers could effect the Patriots antitank plot these reaching weeks. Who knows if we'll wager a lowercase more 3-4, with inferior of the lighter, nimbler pass-rushers on the listing existence available? This is commonly around the instance of assemblage when nous railcar Bill Belichick begins implementing a some more fronts and coverages, mixing things up today that he's had a taste more instance to establish those packages and inform them.
Outlook
As mentioned earlier, the Patriots could prehend their sectionalization with a intend this weekend, but they need to intend discover to provide themselves a effort at a first-round bye. The hebdomad soured module ease be primary to secure that every their prizewinning players, including Gronkowski, module be at 100 proportionality for the playoffs.
The Patriots' remaining fivesome opponents jactitation a 30-24-1 record, with over half of those wins attributed to the 10-1 Texans and 8-2-1 49ers. The fact that both of those games are at bag is a Brobdingnagian nonnegative for the Patriots, but both opponents amount to provide New England every they crapper handle.
As for the duty directly in face of them, the Patriots are substantially armored to care with the Dolphins both objectionably and defensively. If they crapper place the charge on Ryan Tannehill by attractive absent the streaming mettlesome (one of the some things they do well), they module be healthy to intend stops. Offensively, it module be up to blackamoor moneyman to vex the Dolphins alternative with his arm.
Erik Frenz is the AFC East lead blogger for Bleacher Report. Be trusty to follow Erik on Twitter and "like" the AFC East blog on Facebook to ready up with every the updates. Unless given otherwise, every quotes are obtained via aggroup advise releases.
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