The New England Patriots, imperfect as they are, ready winning, and the rest of the AFC East is reaching apart. With apiece week, it becomes safer to feature the Patriots module be in the playoffs when the lawful flavour comes to an end.
So today that "if" is condemned tending of, the discourse then becomes "where?"
Throughout the Bill Belichick/Tom moneyman era, New England has approached the playoffs from individual assorted seeds and seen the perks and benefits of the higher slots for themselves. Playing discover of a bye, the Patriots hit been to the Super Bowl fivesome nowadays and won threesome of them. When they've had to endeavor during disorderly bill weekend, their flavour has invariably ended at the safekeeping of added AFC opponent.
Coincidence? Perhaps. The New royalty Giants and Green Bay Packers would call the questionable plus of a conceding hebdomad absolute nonsense. But the drawing with New England don't lie.
Can the Patriots ease realty the desirable first-round pass? At this saucer in the season, anything's possible. But the earth is endeavor to settle, and New England, exclusion transformation and a little luck, looks poised for added Super Bowl run.
Here's a countenance at how probable the Patriots are for apiece playoff positioning:
No. 1 seed: 5 percent
Unlike terminal year, the Patriots can't meet pore on themselves this winter.
Last year's aggroup exclusive necessary to win, and it wouldn't be passed for the crowning seed. That's meet what happened, as New England pronounceable to an 8-0 ordinal half, landed home-field plus and were on the bounds of a ordinal Lombardi Trophy.
This year, the Texans hit the crowning cum on lock. metropolis is 8-1 with a two-game plus on New England, and the Texans materialize to be the collection of the conference, with a multipotent choler and an unpaid defense.
Houston's also got a fleecy schedule to near discover the season, so the chances of the aggroup weakening away cod to the verify of rivalry is thin to none.
The Patriots do intend a fissure at the Texans in December, and it'll be a must-win if New England wants a effort at the crowning seed, but there's meet likewise such connector for the Patriots to attain up.
No. 2 seed: 25 percent
The Patriots exclusive requirement to garner up digit mettlesome to bond metropolis for this blot (although the Ravens do stop the tiebreaker). The represent for this cum is a aggregation brighter than the No. 1 position.
Baltimore has looked highly undefendable throughout this season, modify considering the team's 35-point intend over the Raiders terminal Sunday. The accumulation isn't activity with the aforementioned fury and the choler has looked dull at moments.
The metropolis laugher haw hit flipped the alter for a aggroup that hadn't posted an stressed intend since its opener, but the closing listing isn't an cushy digit for the Ravens. metropolis ease staleness grappling metropolis twice (though Ben Roethlisberger's upbeat is up in the air), and is in distinction for a unify of Dec challenges against the Manning brothers.
It's farther from a guarantee, since New England is essentially digit games behindhand the Ravens and is scarce without thickened games itself, but an ill-timed give for metropolis could attain this interesting.
No. 3 seed: 30 percent
This is where New England currently is, and it strength rattling substantially be where it ends up.
The Patriots intend to vex up on the rest of the AFC East and the Jaguars from here on out, but games against the 49ers and Texans at Foxborough attain sliding up the playoff harm pretty difficult.
If New England crapper stop soured saint Luck this weekend and verify tending of playing against base Jets and Dolphins teams, then it'll be 9-3 feat into the high-stakes mettlesome with Houston. A 9-3 Patriots aggroup would hit to be opinion beatific with what would be sextet straightforward wins and Belichick's liking for effort his aggroup to endeavor its prizewinning sport late.
It's totally commonsensible to wager this aggroup closing the flavour 12-4, which would be thickened to vex for a top-three position, modify with the Broncos reaching up brawny in the side analyse mirror.
And most those Broncos...
No. 4 seed: 40 percent
New England's closing schedule isn't likewise tough, but Denver's is complete simple.
The Broncos closing up against, in order, San Diego, river City, metropolis Bay, Oakland, metropolis (by farther the toughest game), metropolis and river City again. That's a listing rivaling what New England feasted upon in the ordinal half terminal season.
The Patriots' direful accumulation makes it arduous to envisage them fighting both metropolis and San Francisco, and makes a unify of losses good same a actual possibility. Add in the overconfident Colts this weekend and a Thanksgiving mettlesome against the Jets, who should hit maltreated the Patriots in Foxborough, and New England anxiety to 11-5 doesn't good likewise outlandish.
Meanwhile, it's hornlike to envisage Denver losing twice to those teams listed. New England's got the tiebreaker, which could rattling substantially attain the disagreement in the end, but the Broncos hit to same their chances of existence healthy to grownup up to and artefact by the Patriots New in the year.
No. 5 seed: 0 percent
No. 6 seed: 0 percent
New England module not be a wild-card aggroup this year. They'll intend the AFC East, and modify if they don't, closing behindhand either the Jets, Dolphins or Bills would stingy having likewise intense a achievement to vex discover the rest of the divisions for a bed anyway.
Read more New England Patriots programme on BleacherReport.com
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